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Volume 51, Issue 2, Pages 173-183 (February 2008)


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Variation in Age at ESRD in Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease

Berenice Y. Reed, PhD1Corresponding Author Informationemail address, Kim McFann, PhD2, M. Reza Bekheirnia, MD1, Niloofar Nobkhthaghighi, MD1, Amirali Masoumi, MD1, Ann M. Johnson, MSc3, Alireza Abdollah Shamshiraz, MD1, Catherine L. Kelleher, MD1, Robert W. Schrier, MD1

Received 11 April 2007; accepted 3 October 2007. published online 03 January 2008.

Background

Heterogeneity manifest as more severe disease in successive generations has been attributed to genetic anticipation in patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD). We evaluated variation in age at end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in ADPKD families for evidence of anticipation.

Study Design

Retrospective.

Setting & Participants

413 families with ADPKD seen at our single center between 1985 and 2004 (including 95 families with documented polycystic disease type 1 [PKD1] and 213 ADPKD families with parents born before 1930).

Predictor

Generational status.

Outcome

Age at ESRD onset.

Measurements

Time to ESRD was evaluated by using survival analysis, Cox regression, and descriptive statistics. Unstable trinucleotide repeat expansion was evaluated by means of genotyping in 6 PKD1 families.

Results

We analyzed 413 ADPKD families (1,391 parent-offspring pairs) with known age at ESRD or last known age without ESRD (informative pairs). There was no difference in age at ESRD between parents and offspring by means of Cox regression after adjusting for correlations among family members and sex (hazard ratio, 1.019; 95% confidence interval, 0.919 to 1.13; P = 0.7). Similar analysis of PKD1 informative pairs and those with parents born before 1930 showed no differences in age at ESRD. Male ADPKD patients were 42% more likely to reach ESRD (P < 0.001), and male patients with documented PKD1 were 41% more likely to reach ESRD (P = 0.01) than female patients.

Limitations

Hypertension treatment unknown.

Conclusions

We found no evidence for anticipation of ESRD in patients with ADPKD; thus, the observed variation in age at ESRD may result from other genetic, sex, or environmental causes.

1 Department of Medicine, Division of Renal Diseases and Hypertension, American Indian and Alaska Native Program, University of Colorado at Denver and Health Sciences Center, Denver, CO

2 Department of Preventative Medicine and Biometrics, American Indian and Alaska Native Program, University of Colorado at Denver and Health Sciences Center, Denver, CO

3 Department of Psychiatry, American Indian and Alaska Native Program, University of Colorado at Denver and Health Sciences Center, Denver, CO.

Corresponding Author InformationAddress correspondence to Berenice Y. Reed, PhD, Polycystic Kidney Disease Research Group, Mail Code C283, University of Colorado at Denver and Health Sciences Center, 4200 East 9th Ave, Denver, CO 80262.

 Originally published online as doi:10.1053/j.ajkd.2007.10.037 on December 28, 2007.

PII: S0272-6386(07)01481-3

doi:10.1053/j.ajkd.2007.10.037


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